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How Inflation and Interest Rates Affect Texas School District Bond Financing

Rudy Mejia

Updated: Feb 19

Texas school districts rely on bond financing to build new schools, upgrade aging facilities, and improve infrastructure. But in today’s economic climate, inflation and rising interest rates are reshaping how districts approach debt management and long-term financial planning.

For districts preparing for upcoming bond elections or new issuances, understanding the impact of inflation and interest rates is critical. Let’s break down the key factors at play and what Texas school leaders can do to mitigate financial risks.



📈 Inflation: Driving Up Costs for Texas School Projects

Over the past few years, construction costs for schools have skyrocketed due to inflation. This affects everything from building materials to labor costs, making new projects significantly more expensive than just a few years ago.


🔍 The Impact of Inflation on School Bond Projects

✅ Higher Construction Costs – Steel, concrete, and labor have seen double-digit price increases, forcing districts to rethink budgets.

✅ Delayed Projects Due to Cost Overruns – Some districts have postponed or downsized projects after realizing bids came in millions over budget.

✅ Voter Hesitation on New Bonds – As taxpayers feel the strain of inflation in their own lives, they may be less likely to approve large bond proposals.


📌 What Districts Can Do to Manage Inflation Risks:

🔹 Build in Cost Contingencies – Districts should include inflation buffers in bond planning to prevent cost overruns.

🔹 Lock in Pricing Early – Securing materials and labor contracts before inflation drives up costs further can save millions.

🔹 Prioritize Critical Projects – Focus on must-have projects first, rather than funding everything at once.



💰 Interest Rates: The Cost of Borrowing is Higher

When districts issue bonds, they pay back the debt over time with interest. The problem? Interest rates have risen sharply, increasing the cost of borrowing for schools.

🔺 In early 2022, school bonds were issued at rates below 3%. Today, some bonds exceed 5%.

🔺 A 2% increase in rates on a $100 million bond can add millions in interest costs over the life of the loan.


📌 What Districts Can Do to Manage Interest Rate Risks:

🔹 Consider Refunding Older Debt – If interest rates drop in the future, districts should be ready to refinance high-interest bonds.

🔹 Stagger Bond Issuances – Instead of issuing all bonds at once, districts can phase debt issuance to avoid locking in high rates.

🔹 Use Cash Reserves Strategically – If a district has strong fund balances, it may be able to reduce reliance on new debt.



🚀 The Future: How Can Texas School Districts Adapt?

💡 Plan Bond Elections Strategically:

  • Educate voters on why funding is still needed despite inflation and rising rates.

  • Highlight how the district plans to manage costs to reassure taxpayers.


💡 Engage Financial Experts:

  • Work with municipal advisors to identify optimal bond structures that minimize costs.

  • Consider shorter-term debt for urgent projects and longer-term bonds for major capital investments.


💡 Monitor the Market:

  • Interest rates fluctuate, and economic conditions can change.

  • Districts should be ready to issue bonds when market conditions improve.



📢 Final Takeaway: Smart Planning Can Save Millions

Inflation and interest rates are major challenges for Texas school districts, but they don’t have to derail essential projects. With the right financial strategy, districts can still fund critical improvements while protecting taxpayers from excessive costs.


Want to discuss strategies for managing bond financing in today’s economic climate? Let’s connect. 👇


This material has been prepared for informational purposes only, and is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, legal or finance advice. If you have any legal or finance questions regarding this content or related issues, then you should consult with your professional legal or financial advisor.




 
 
 

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